 Elijah Arroyo (SEA) — TE1

- Quick take: Extremely volatile late-round flyer with a plausible path to snaps in Seattle, but heavy injury history and limited inline blocking keep the floor very low. Best kept as a dynasty/storyline stash rather than a Week 1 starter in redraft.

- Draft/roster context you should know
  - Draft capital: 2nd-round pick (NFL No. 50) for SEA. Big upside but variability in early usage.
  - Role in 2025: With Noah Fant gone, Arroyo has a real opportunity to be involved, but Seattle still has JSN, Metcalf, and a crowded pass-catching corps. The Seahawks’ staff has signaled expectation for him to contribute.
  - Injury history: ACL tear in 2022, multiple missed games in 2023, another knee issue at Senior Bowl; did not test. This raises durability and longer-term reliability concerns.

- What the Reddit/FFHound signal says
  - Upside profile: “TE1-upside traits” with flashes of ergonomic receiving ability; tape shows route-running feel and seam speed, but blocking is limited.
  - Immediate path: Some posts note a realistic path to snaps as TE2/vertical option with Fant out; could see targets if used in 2-TE looks or as a big-slot mismatch.
  - Comparisons and ceilings: Comparisons to Darren Waller-like movement in flashes; elevator cables risk if durability fails.
  - Consensus sentiment: Seen as a high-upside late-rounder in dynasty; in redraft, a speculative late-round stash with a shot to contribute if usage surges.

- 2025 outlook (range-based, actionable)
  - Baseline expectation: Low floor unless he wins a sizable role early. Likely limited targets in year 1 with AJ Barner and other depth pieces pushing for snaps.
  - Expected target share: Roughly in the single digits to low-teens percentage range if he earns a meaningful role; could be significantly lower if Seattle doesn’t lean into a rookie TE.
  - Yardage/TD potential: If used as a plus-athlete in a 2-TE set, could post 2–5 TDs with modest yardage (roughly 300–600+ combined yards) depending on how quickly he earns targets.
  - Ceiling scenario: If he locks a significant TE2 role and earns targets in the red zone, upside could approach a mid-range TE2 level (roughly 5–7 TD-equivalent impact) in a best-case timeline (late 2025) but requires staying healthy and beating out Barner for targets.
  - Floor scenario: Very low if he’s behind other targets, or if his durability remains a concern; could be a fantasy sink if inactive or limited to special packages.

- What to monitor (training camp / early season)
  - Reports that the coaching staff plans to “put a lot of pressure on him” and expects production. Positive signals here matter more than college metrics.
  - How he’s used in practice: inline blocking vs. slot routes, and involvement on 2-TE sets. Any week-one involvement would dramatically alter his trajectory.
  - Competition: AJ Barner’s role and any additional TE signings; any early-season injury or depth chart shakeups.

- Pros/Cons at a glance
  - Pros: Elite size-for-position, athletic profile, immediate opportunity after Fant’s departure, potential for a quick developmental jump if he stays healthy and is trusted in route-running.
  - Cons: Injury history, durability risk, blocking limitations limiting early usage, crowded SEA passing offense, unclear target allocation for a rookie TE.

- Redraft strategy guidance (2025)
  - Where to draft: Late-round flyer. Don’t reach; treat as a lottery ticket with upside if he wins a notable role.
  - How to roster: In deeper leagues or best-ball, stash if you have room and want a speculative shot. In shallower leagues, only roster him if you’re okay with cutting him mid-season.
  - Contingencies: If early camp reports are lukewarm or he’s limited to special packages, deprioritize and move on. If he earns Week 1/Week 2 targets or is heavily utilized in the red zone, you should at least consider an uptick in exposure.

- Dynasty considerations
  - Long-term value: Strong as a late-round hold given the SEA quarterback/receiving options and the size/speed mismatch profile. Could emerge as a post-JSN TE2 in 2026 if the offense solidifies.
  - Trade value: If he flashes in camp, he could fetch a future late-round pick or a bench player with upside; otherwise, keep as a depth stash.

- Red flags to respect
  - Injuries and missed time in college and pre-draft period.
  - Blocking/pure inline role may limit early targets; Seattle’s pass distribution could keep him behind more established receivers.
  - Any regression in health or usage could cap upside quickly.

Bottom line: Elijah Arroyo is a classic high-upside, low-floor rookie TE bet for 2025. He has a legitimate path to snaps in Seattle with Fant out, but durability concerns and a crowded target tree mean he’s a wait-and-see stash rather than a plug-and-play starter. Use him as a dynasty asset or a late-round redraft flyer, and aggressively reassess after camp reports and early-season usage.