Here’s a tight, action-focused read on Roschon Johnson (CHI) for 2025, compiled from the Reddit threads and FF Hound notes you provided.

- Role in 2025
  - Clear reality: not the workhorse. Primary back is D’Andre Swift; Kyle Monongai is pushing for a meaningful role. Johnson is in a murky 2–3-way committee as the “RB2” type.
  - Camp signal: Monongai earned second-team looks; Johnson has had limited coach chatter, suggesting he’s not locked into a steady early-down role.
  - Bears’ offense context: Ben Johnson’s influence and a potential offensive upgrade could lift run game efficiency, but that does not guarantee Johnson a stable target share or red-zone work.

- Usage & floor/ceiling
  - Baseline expectation (healthy Swift + Monongai in mix): mid-to-low RB3/flex range most weeks. Expect ~6–10 touches per game with limited passing-game work.
  - TD dependency: Johnson needs touchdowns to be relevant. Without TDs, weekly output often fades into the 5–9 PPR zone.
  - If Swift misses time: Johnson could see a meaningful boost (potentially 12–18 PPR points range if he commands 10–15 touches and a couple receptions). Monongai presence still caps upside.
  - Red-zone/goal-line: unclear; in a mixed backfield the committee likely splits goal-line work, limiting spike weeks unless he carves out a clear TD opportunity.

- Receiving & efficiency
  - Receiving upside is modest. The Bears’ passing-game targets in the room (Burden, Loveland, Kmet) suggest Johnson won’t be a high-volume pass-catcher unless roles shift.
  - Historical note: last year’s top-end games came more from volume and TDs than from elite receiving production.

- Health and durability
  - Injury history (foot) and limited camp chatter imply ongoing health risk or at least a period of uncertainty at the start of season.
  - If he can stay healthy and establish even a modest role, he could hold value as a volatile depth piece.

- Outlook sentiment from market + Reddit
  - ADP/market view: RB23 (around 62 overall) with split opinions. Some see fair value or slight upside in a Ben Johnson-led offense; others warn about a crowded backfield and limited ceiling.
  - Red flags in chatter: FF Hound labeled him as “high ambiguity” and warned against relying on him unless TDs come his way; other voices call him a late-round dart with lottery-ticket upside.
  - Positive notes: Bears’ backfield vacancy post-Herbert and coaching/offensive system changes can create upside, but it’s not a slam-dunk.

- Key discussion points you’ll see in chatter
  - Monongai vs Johnson in camp and practice reps; Johnson not locking in as the clear lead-back.
  - Johnson’s role as a potential ancillary piece in a two- or three-man committee.
  - The Bears’ offense improving but Johnson needing touchdowns to be fantasy relevant.
  - Johnson as a “best-ball lottery ticket” or late-round stash, not a reliable weekly starter.

- Draft strategy / how to use him on your team
  - Redraft: treat as a bench/deep-flex stash, not a core RB2. Only draft him for upside if you’re building a Bears-centric stack or you’re set at safer RB spots.
  - Best ball: low-cost lottery ticket acceptable in the last handful of rounds or as a late add on a multi- RB build.
  - If Swift/Monongai injuries or underperformance occur, Johnson could spike—but don’t bank on it as a core piece.
  - If targeting Bears offense in drafts, balance Roschon Johnson’s upside against the high-risk committee reality.

- Quick actionable takeaways
  - Don’t reach for Roschon Johnson in redraft; he’s a high-variance handcuff/backup vibe with a narrow path to weekly RB2 status.
  - In dynasty/keeper contexts, Johnson’s value hinges on how the backfield settles in 2025 and his ability to carve out a steady, multi-week role (riskier bet now).
  - Monitor camp notes on Monangai’s role and any shift in Johnson’s usage; a sudden surge in practice reps or TD-focused scoring could reframe his value quickly.

Bottom line: Roschon Johnson remains a high-variance, back-end fantasy hold. He has upside if the Bears’ offense unlocks him and if Swift misses time, but the default expectation is a committee with limited standalone upside—best treated as a speculative add rather than a reliable weekly contributor.