Concise, Reddit-informed notes for 2025 fantasy outlook: Marvin Harrison Jr. (ARI, WR1)

- Role/ Situation
  - Primary outside WR in Arizona. Likely targets the majority of long- and intermediate passes.
  - Run game described as "awesome," which should help play-action efficiency but may cap sheer pass volume if the offense stays grindy.

- 2025 Outlook (range-based, PPR)
  - Target share: roughly 22–28% of team targets if Kyler Murray is healthy and productive.
  - Receptions: ~75–95
  - Receiving yards: ~1,000–1,300
  - TDs: ~6–10
  - Floor if Kyler is limited or offense stalls: ~60–75 receptions, 850–1,100 yards, 4–6 TDs
  - Ceiling: If Kyler returns to 2021–2022 form and the offense stays pass-friendly, 1,200+ yards and 8–12 TDs are plausible.

- Sentiment/ Narrative (FF Hound Reddit context)
  - General rookie-wide-out skepticism this cycle; the best hype tends to overrate rookie flashes. MHJ as ARI’s clear top pass-catcher reduces some downside relative to secondary options.
  - FF Hound signals MHJ as a potentially strong offensive driver (needs Kyler to take a meaningful step forward). The “crowd/offense rank” discussions imply MHJ’s ceiling is tied to QB play and offensive efficiency.
  - Some chatter compares rookie prospects (Tet, Nabers) and cautions against overpaying for hype; MHJ is considered the usable anchor in ARI, not a sideshow.

- Key Risks / Discussion Points
  - Kyler Murray health/accuracy: Major swing factor; if Murray doesn’t play well or misses time, MHJ’s targets/yards drop significantly.
  - Offense pace/volume: Run-heavy tendencies could dampen overall pass volume; effectiveness depends on game script and efficiency.
  - Supporting cast: Other pass-catchers emerging could cap target distribution; scrutiny on how the offense spreads targets beyond MHJ.
  - Youth vs veteran stability: If the offense regresses or remains uneven, MHJ’s floor tilts toward mid-range WR2 values rather than steady WR1 output.
  - Adoption risk: If ARI shifts offense or QB situation (new coach, weapons), MHJ’s target certainty could vary week-to-week.

- Draft/Season Strategy (actionable)
  - Valuation: Treat as a high-upside WR1 in standard leagues only if you’re confident Kyler is healthy and the offense will pass at a reasonable clip; otherwise tilt toward floor-minded WR2 with upside.
  - Draft target window: Likely in the early-to-mid 2nd round in 12-team PPR if Kyler is healthy; if Kyler’s status is uncertain, you may want a safer WR2/WR3 with clearer volume.
  - Rostering plan: If Kyler is healthy and practicing well by camp, MHJ is a must-stash in the 2nd to 3rd rounds; otherwise use as a high-upside WR3 with a strong Week 1-4 monitoring plan.
  - In-season play: Heighten usage in games with favorable matchups or when Kyler shows rhythm; bench in weeks with anticipated shootouts against elite defenses or if QB play falters.

- Monitoring cues (preseason to Week 1)
  - Kyler Murray practice status, solo-work completion, and early connection with MHJ.
  - Arizona’s early game scripts: pass-to-run ratio trends, goal-line usage for MHJ.
  - Any shift in target share to other WRs/TEs in camp or early-season games.

Bottom line: Marvin Harrison Jr. profiles as the clear top receiving option in ARI with solid, if not elite, target potential contingent on Kyler Murray’s health and offensive efficiency. Expect a high-ceiling ceiling if Kyler plays well; a safer, lower floor if the QB situation or offense stalls. Use him as a higher-end WR2 with WR1 upside in favorable scenarios.