Chris Godwin (TB) – WR2 in 2025 fantasy outlook

- Injury status and timeline
  - Dislocated ankle fracture with a second surgery; potential to start season on PUP (roughly 4-game miss possible). Slow ramp back is likely; October return is plausible in some scenarios.
  - Expect a delayed start and a gradual reintroduction to full workload once healthy. High risk of a slow early-season target share.

- 2025 role and offense context
  - Could operate as a secondary target in a Baker Mayfield–led offense, with Emeka Egbuka (slot/inside) competing for targets. Egbuka’s rise could cap Godwin’s immediate target share if he is ready to contribute.
  - Long-term upside exists if he returns to form, but the early-season path is uncertain and heavily dependent on health and ramp timing.
  - Perceived floor: likely a WR3/WR4 early in the year with upside if he returns to high-end WR2 form later in the season.

- ADP, value, and draft strategy
  - ADP around 105–110 (roughly 9th round in standard leagues). Builds in downside risk (PUP/slow ramp) but offers a potential late-round/high-reward stash.
  - Best play if you have an IR/DI slot to stash through the first month; otherwise, it’s a fragile bet with limited immediate week-to-week utility.

- Sentiment notes to monitor
  - Camp reporting: non-participation early in camp could push him deeper into the rankings; any signs of running/gainful practice would lift his outlook.
  - Competitor signals: Egbuka’s progress and Baker Mayfield’s targeting in the slot will be primary catalysts for Godwin’s short-term role.
  - Injury chatter: cartilage risk from the initial dislocation remains a concern; any setback or re-aggravation would further depress his value.

- Risk-reward profile
  - Risk: high (injury history, PUP concern, potential for reduced early-season role).
  - Reward: moderate-to-high if he returns at or near WR1 form later in the season; strong late-round value if he hits, given the price discount with the injury discount already baked in.

- Actionable draft guidance
  - If you’re targeting safer floor at WR2/WR3, pass or wait another round unless you have a clear IR slot.
  - If you’re targeting upside and can stash, consider drafting around 9th round with a strict bench/IR plan; monitor camp reports daily.
  - Compare to alternatives who provide immediate value with less risk; be prepared to pivot if Egbuka or other TB receivers rise as Week 1 approaches.

- Start/sit implications for 2025
  - Week 1 onward: treat as a wait-and-see in terms of weekly viability. If active post-ramp, slot him as a WR3 with upside; if not, expect minimal early-season floor.
  - Late-season trajectory could improve if he regains full speed and if the offense stabilizes around him or around other primary pass-catchers.

Key discussion points to watch (Reddit/FFHound signals)
- Will Godwin’s PUP status actually clear by Week 5–6, or will he return later than the early projection?
- How quickly does Egbuka establish himself in the slot and impact Godwin’s target share?
- Any practice-time boosts or reductions in camp notes that solidify whether Godwin will be more bench/IR stash or a late-season compliant WR2.
- Comparative risk: Godwin vs. other late-round injury-prone players (weighing ultimate upside against immediate roster utility).