Here’s the concise, action-focused take on Brian Thomas Jr. (JAC, WR1) from the Reddit/FF Hound chatter.

- 2025 outlook (redraft perspective)
  - Target volume: High upside due to 153 vacated targets; BTJ is positioned as the Jaguars’ primary pass-catcher if usage sticks.
  - Role: Expected to be the focal point of the offense, used all over the field (X, slot, motion) per reports.
  - Receiving stats to target: Roughly 115–140 targets, 65–85 receptions, 900–1200+ yards, 6–9 TDs (higher ceiling if offense remains pass-heavy; lower if target distribution concentrates elsewhere).
  - Floor/ceiling: High floor in PPR if volume holds; ceiling closer to top 12 WR if efficiency matches the target share and TDs tick up.
  - Offense context: Coaching upgrade cited as a driver of improved pass game; more overall pass volume likely, though TD volatility remains a risk (TDs can swing a lot week-to-week).

- Sentiment
  - Positive but not reckless: Most chatter treats BTJ as a legitimate top-15 overall WR target in drafts. FF Hound signals him as a likely focal point (top pick in their view).
  - Some near-term uncertainty: Jaguars may still add pass-game talent (e.g., a high-draft WR2/WR3 or rookie contributors), which could dilute target share if not managed, though current data suggests BTJ should lead.
  - TD volatility caveat: Like many young WRs in a changing offense, TDs are the wildcard; avoid relying on double-digit TDs as a given.

- Key discussion points from the threads
  - Target pool in flux: 153 vacated targets create a clear path for BTJ, but distribution hinges on coaching/game plan and additional pass-catchers stepping up.
  - Competition landscape: Travis Hunter is discussed as a potential WR2-type threat but unlikely to unseat BTJ as the WR1; still worth monitoring for any shift in target share.
  - Draft strategy signals: In at least one draft scenario, BTJ is going in the 2nd round (roughly 2.01–2.04 range in redraft), reinforcing view of 2nd-round value with high upside.
  - Draft format considerations: Auction chatter shows BTJ priced as a top-15 asset in some leagues; if you prefer a safer floor, you may need to pay up more; if you’re OK with variance, BTJ can be a strong anchor.

- Actionable drafting notes
  - Redraft target: Look to secure BTJ roughly in the early-to-mid 2nd round in 12-team formats; he’s positioned as a high-end WR2 with WR1 upside if targets stay robust.
  - Auction strategy: Expect BTJ to command 15–20% of budget in many leagues; pair with solid “safe” veterans to balance risk if you miss him.
  - Build considerations: If BTJ lands on your team, align with complementary pass-game pieces (upgrade RB depth early to balance roster leverage) and monitor pre-season reports on role clarity.
  - Contingency plan: If the Jaguars add another credible target or BTJ’s targets don’t materialize as projected, pivot to another Jaguars WR with similar upside (staying flexible week-to-week).

- Bottom line
  - BTJ is a strong 2025 target due to the vacated target pool and expected usage as the primary receiver in a coaching-up offense. He carries WR1 upside with a solid, defensible floor in PPR. However, expect TD volatility and watch for any shift in pass-catcher competition. If you miss him, be ready to pivot to other high-floor WRs rather than chasing similar upside in a crowded field.