Jordan Addison (MIN) — WR2

- Core outlook: High-variance fantasy option. When healthy, he profiles as a clear Vikings’ WR2 with substantial weekly upside behind Justin Jefferson, but his season-long floor is sensitive to volatility in target/TD opportunities.

- Spike-week volatility (CV risk): Part of a cluster that shows big seasonal boosts tied to one or two spike weeks. Removing spike weeks often lowers his per-season average; this signals week-to-week volatility and a relatively low floor in low-volume games.

- Early-season risk (per FF Hound): ADP impacted by injuries/suspension chatter. Specifically:
  - Possible 3-game suspension or other early-season absence.
  - Arm/injury concerns could delay a full return to 100% involvement.
  - Even if he plays, the first few games could be limited snap/role until he shakes off the rust.

- Buy-low / value window: The FF Hound notes Addison fell roughly 15 spots in ADP due to those “out/questionable” tags. If you’re confident in his return-to-speed and Vikings’ offense staying efficient, this is a tangible buy-low opportunity in drafts.

- Role expectation (2025): Likely second fiddle to Jefferson with Hockenson/Fresh targets as additional competition. Expect a solid target share when on the field, but weekly spikes will depend on game plan and QB play.

- Rookie-development narrative relevance: The “rookie WRs take time” argument is less relevant here since Addison is a 2nd-year player; however, on-field time and trust (from coaching/QB) still matter. If he’s on the field early, he can contribute; if held back by suspension/injury, that could cap his early-season impact.

- Floor vs. ceiling framing:
  - Floor: Moderate weekly floors during weeks with limited targets or in games Jefferson dominates game plan.
  - Ceiling: High in weeks with favorable matchups or when scoring opportunities arise (TDs/goal-line looks). His ceiling is tied to ARSB-adjacent volume, not sole reliance on volume from a slot role.

- Draft strategy/usage tips:
  - Target range: Consider Addison as a late-2nd to early-3rd round pick if the suspension/injury risk is priced in; he’s a classic high-ceiling WR2 with notable injury/eligibility risk.
  - Exposure plan: If he falls due to early tags, pounce; if he’s back by Week 4 with a favorable slate, consider him as a weekly FLEX/WR2 until established.
  - Rostering approach: Don’t over-lean on him in lineups when he’s questionable or if he’s missing early weeks; plan to ride Jefferson and Hockenson as core anchors while Addison returns.

- Summary take: Addison offers tantalizing upside as a top-24 WR when healthy, but the 2025 value hinges on avoiding or surviving early-season absences and mitigating the spike-week volatility. He’s a legitimate buy-low candidate if you can tolerate the early-week risk; otherwise, treat him as a high-variance bench-then-start option.