Jerry Jeudy (CLE) – 2025 outlook: concise, actionable notes

- Baseline profile
  - Elite route runner with heavy 2024 volume: led the league in single-season route count (714) since 2020; 90 catches on 145 targets for 1,229 yards and 4 TDs ( breakout season, strong air yards).
  - Target environment: high target-per-game with Winston earlier in 2024; overall target pace should be solid if Browns maintain pass volume.

- QB/offense risk and volume driver
  - Key swing: Joe Flacco is expected to start, which is positive for pass volume (40+ attempts, 320+ yards per start cited by FF Hound). Still, QB stability is uncertain if Shedeur Sanders, Dillon Gabriel, Kenny Pickett, or other QBs see time.
  - Floor sensitivity: if pass attempts dip due to QB instability or run-heavy game scripts, Jeudy’s targets and yardage can shrink meaningfully.

- 2025 projection (range-based, realistic)
  - Targets: 110–130
  - Receiving yards: 1,000–1,300
  - TDs: 4–7
  - PPR floor: solid WR3 with possible weekly WR2 upside in favorable game scripts or QB continuity
  - Week-to-week: expect 6–9 targets in games with decent pass volume; upside if Winston-like or better QB play reoccurs or Flacco stays healthy and efficient.

- Why the upside is real (when conditions cooperate)
  - Route volume and air yards remain elite; major contributor to offense when the QB is distributing.
  - 2024 Winston-leaning stretches show Jeudy can post top-level yardage and target share when given volume.

- Red flags / risk factors
  - QB volatility: multiple potential starters for 2025; overall passing volume hinges on QB stability.
  - Injury history: 2024 was among the more injury-affected seasons for WRs; durability remains a concern.
  - Competition for targets: Njoku and Cedric Tillman soak some targets; any shift in QB style or OC strategy could shift target tree.

- Draft/value take
  - ADP context: around WR33–WR36 (WR36-ish). Price is fair to value if you believe Browns keep passing volume steady; downside if offense shifts run-heavy or QB churn is high.
  - Dynasty hold: recommended; QB uncertainty keeps upside capped short-term but long-term profile remains strong.

- Immediate strategic notes
  - If you draft Jeudy, pair with a solid floor while monitoring QB situation; he’s a stable target-volume piece but not a ceiling-shattering option unless the Browns commit to a high-volume passing approach.
  - Monitor competition: any clarity on start/QB consistency improves his outlook more than notable lineup changes at other skill positions.