Bottom line
- Guerendo is a late-round stash/handcuff behind CMC in SF. Rarely startable unless injuries hit the backfield. Realistic upside hinges on CMC misses time; otherwise volume is limited.

2025 fantasy outlook
- Role: Backup RB with special-teams/late-season upside; potential to mix in as a change-of-pace back or goal-line option if usage patterns shift, but in a healthy season he’s not a week-to-week starter.
- Expected touches: floor near 5–8 touches per game only in garbage/elite injury scenarios; baseline games likely 3–7 touches with 1–2 targeted passes.
- Scoring upside: limited TD upside unless he gains a larger role or CMC misses multiple games.
- PPR vs standard: modest value in PPR if used in passing downs, but not a primary 3-down back.

 sentiment and discussion points (Reddit FF community)
- Positive signals: Seen as a late-round value, especially if you roster CMC; high upside as a handcuff in SF with strong drafting-to-injury contingency.
- Value framing: ADP around 146–166 (Underdog/ESPN) makes Guerendo a very cheap speculative pick; some fans view him as a potential early-season relevance/late-season breakout.
- Cautions: The SF backfield is crowded behind CMC; Jordan James and other depth pieces add risk; shoulder/arm injury in camp raises early-season availability concerns.
- Handcuff/2nd-year hype: Included in discussions of 2nd-year breakout candidates; often paired with CMC in drafts.
- Injury risk: Training camp notes indicate Guerendo suffered an arm/shoulder issue; could delay early-season usage.
- Long-shot upside: If CMC misses time, Guerendo has legitimate flex/streaming upside in multiple-game stretches.

2025 key data points to monitor
- Injury status: shoulder/arm issue timing; current clearance for Week 1.
- Backfield health: Jordan James’ status; Mason’s departure impact on depth.
- Week-to-week workload: any early-season spikes if CMC rests or exits games.
- ADP movement: will likely stay in late rounds; any shift if coaching staff signals more pass-game involvement.

risk flags
- Primary risk: non-elite baseline role behind CMC; high variance week-to-week.
- Recovery risk: lingering shoulder/arm issue could limit early-season usage.
- Competition: James and other depth players can cap Guerendo’s ceiling even if CMC misses time.

draft strategy (how to draft him)
- If you own CMC: take Guerendo in late rounds (rounds 15–18 in typical drafts; value especially in best-ball/late-round leagues). Treat as exact-handcuff insurance rather than weekly starter.
- If you don’t own CMC: he’s a speculative late flier with limited immediate value; only draft if you want a lottery-ticket handcuff with upside in case of injuries.
- Contingency plan: monitor camp news; if Guerendo clears early-season injuries and James remains banged up, he could be a small-time shooter in larger SF-based lineups.

Conclusion
- Guerendo offers extremely limited immediate fantasy value but meaningful contingency upside as a CMC handcuff in SF. Be realistic: he’s a bench stash at best; only elevate him if injuries create a clear path to shared or increased workload.