Concise 2025 fantasy outlook for Marvin Mims Jr. (DEN, WR2)

- Role clarity
  - Inside track to WR2 behind Courtland Sutton in a rising offense.
  - Broncos expected to deploy Mims as a primary complementary piece, with potential slot work if offensive personnel shifts (per ProFootballRumors and FF HOUND notes).
  - Last-round-turned-strong finisher: 52 fantasy points and 4 TDs over the final two weeks of 2024; truly flashed late.

- 2024 efficiency signals
  - Post Week 11: led all WRs in yards per route run (YPRR) at 3.63, signaling strong per-route efficiency.
  - Targeting trend late season: 5, 8, 5 targets in the final three games, indicating he can command meaningful weekly volume when active.

- 2025 projection (reasonable ranges)
  - Target range: roughly 60–90 targets (depending on how the offense spreads passes).
  - Yardage: about 650–900 receiving yards.
  - TDs: roughly 4–7 TDs.
  - Week-to-week: weekly upside in the 6–9 target window is plausible if he locks in as the WR2; floor hinges on overall passing volume.

- ADP and value
  - ADP around pick ~119 (late-round value), especially in best-ball formats; not a slam-dunk redraft WR3, but compelling upside if usage materializes.
  - Sentiment is mixed in the fanbase: some view him as a risky pick, others as a high-upside late-round stab due to speed and late-season efficiency.

- Sentiment themes from the Reddit/FF Hound chatter
  - Positive: multiple posts/high confidence data point to a real role and upside in a pass-friendly, Sutton-led offense; Mims has legitimate big-play potential.
  - Negative: a notable contingent views him as a poor pick at ADP, awaiting preseason usage to justify value.
  - Trade talk: some chatter about Mims Jr. (Broncos’ other Marvin Mims) and slot usage; speculative but it underscores potential shifts in how Denver could deploy Mims (WR2 vs. primary slot). Treat as potential scenario, not a baseline.
  - Preseason signal risk: usage in early/late preseason games could swing perception quickly; heavy preseason involvement would support a higher upside case.

- What could derail the outlook
  - Denver adds another WR or heavily targets Sutton/Engram, lowering Mims’ share.
  - Bo Nix doesn’t progress as hoped or the offense becomes more run-oriented than expected.
  - Slot/WR role doesn’t materialize as strongly as hoped; competition from other young receivers or injury.

- Draft strategy guidance
  - Redraft: consider as a high-ceiling WR4 with weekly spike potential; avoid overpaying, but if you’re targeting upside with late-round picks, he’s a reasonable bet behind Sutton.
  - Best-ball: one of the better late-round upside plays given late-season efficiency + WR2 role; pair with other high-upside backs to maximize weeks with 6–9 targets.
  - Dynasty: keep as a developing asset with breakout potential in the 2–3 year window, especially if the offense continues to ascend and he maintains a WR2 role.

- Key preseason metrics to watch (must-have for conviction)
  - Target share in Denver’s preseason games and snap rate in 2-WR vs 3-WR sets.
  - involved routes against Sutton and Engram; proportion of outside vs. slot reps.
  - Any meaningful changes in the depth chart (injuries, personnel moves, or trades) that could shift his target floor.

Bottom line: Marvin Mims Jr. is a plausible WR2 with spike Weeks and a solid efficiency profile. The upside hinges on Denver stabilizing as a pass-volume offense and him maintaining or increasing target share behind Sutton. Treat as a viable late-round dart with real weekly ceiling, but don’t rely on him as a weekly floor play unless preseason usage confirms a robust target share.